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Space Weather Observations, Alerts, and Forecast

Forecast text

Product: 3-Day Forecast - Issued: 2024 May 25 0030 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center.

Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for May 25-May 27 2024 is 4.00 (below NOAA Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown May 25-May 27 2024

May 25May 26May 27

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

Solar Radiation Activity Observation

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for May 25-May 27 2024

May 25May 26May 27
S1 or greater10%10%5%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected. No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm production is forecast.

Radio Blackout Activity

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24 hours. The largest was at May 24 2024 0706 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for May 25-May 27 2024

May 25May 26May 27
R3 or greater10%10%5%

Rationale: On 25-26 May, R1 (Minor) radio blackouts are likely, with a slight chance of R3 (Strong) radio blackouts, due primarily to the flare potential of Region 3679. The likelihood decreases to just a chance for R1 (Minor) blackouts on 27 May as Region 3679 rotates beyond the western limb.

Sun Images

eit 171 eit 195 eit 284 eit 304

Images: From left to right: EIT 171, EIT 195, EIT 284, EIT 304 EIT (Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Telescope) images the solar atmosphere at several wavelengths, and therefore, shows solar material at different temperatures. In the images taken at 304 Angstrom the bright material is at 60,000 to 80,000 degrees Kelvin. In those taken at 171 Angstrom, at 1 million degrees. 195 Angstrom images correspond to about 1.5 million Kelvin, 284 Angstrom to 2 million degrees. The hotter the temperature, the higher you look in the solar atmosphere.


The MDI (Michelson Doppler Imager) images shown here are taken in the continuum near the Ni I 6768 Angstrom line. The most prominent features are the sun spots.

LASCO (Large Angle Spectrometric Coronagraph) is able to take images of the solar corona by blocking the light coming directly from the Sun with an occulter disk, creating an artificial eclipse within the instrument itself.

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Solar cycle

Sunspot numbers F10.7CM Radio flux AP
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The Solar Cycle is observed by counting the frequency and placement of sunspots visible on the Sun. Solar minimum occurred in December, 2008. Solar maximum in May, 2013.

Solar wind Satellite impact Xray flux
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On the left: Real-Time Solar Wind data broadcast from NASA's ACE satellite. Middle: The Satellite Environment Plot combines satellite and ground-based data to provide an overview of the current geosynchronous satellite environment. Right: 3-days of 5-minute solar x-ray flux values measured on the SWPC primary and secondary GOES satellites.

Auroral activity

Northern Auroral map Southern Auroral map

Instruments on board the NOAA Polar-orbiting Operational Environmental Satellite (POES) continually monitor the power flux carried by the protons and electrons that produce aurora in the atmosphere. SWPC has developed a technique that uses the power flux observations obtained during a single pass of the satellite over a polar region (which takes about 25 minutes) to estimate the total power deposited in an entire polar region by these auroral particles. The power input estimate is converted to an auroral activity index that ranges from 1 to 10.

Introduction Movie

Conditions on the Sun and in the solar wind, magnetosphere, ionosphere and thermosphere that can influence the performance and reliability of space-borne and ground-based technological systems and can endanger human life or health. This introduction movie in the English language will open on a new tab/window when you click on the image below.

Also in Quicktime format: Large (269M) and Small ( 60M).


Space Weather Images and Information (excluded from copyright) courtesy of:
NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center, Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (HAO/NCAR), and SOHO (ESA & NASA).

Vremenski podatki so objavljeni na:

Slovenska vremenska mreža




Oprema, ki se uporablja:

Vremenska postaja
Davis VP2+ ventilirana

Vremenski program

Vremenski server
Shuttle DS10U5

Vremensko društvo ZEVS

Davis VP2+ ventilirana


Shuttle DS10U5

Vremensko društvo ZEVS

Meteorološki podatki vremenske postaje Rakitna so neuradni, meteorološka postaja sama pa ni del državne mrež:e Agencije Republike Slovenije za okolje (ARSO),
je pa vključena v Vremensko društvo ZEVS. Prikazani podatki so izmerjeni točno, vendar so zgolj informativni in nimajo značaja uradnega podatka.

Podatke meri vremenska postaja "Davis VP2+ ventilirana" od 05.03.2011 dalje.

Opozarjamo, da ne prevzamemo odgovornosti za morebitno nastalo škodo, ki bi nastala zaradi odločitve, sprejete na osnovi teh podatkov!